Negotiators are growing skeptical that the United States and Iran can reach a permanent deal on Iran’s nuclear capabilities before a July 20 deadline. USIP has a variety of newsletters and announcements with the latest analysis, publications and events. In the assessment of experts, Iran is “water bankrupt,” a terminology that echoes the country’s economic woes. The project has evolved, with new articles added consistently to The Iran Primer website, which provides original articles, data, timelines, rundowns of U.S. and Iranian government actions, and other resources on a website co-hosted with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. The conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran has shaped the entire region for decades. There is also armed action between Kurdish groups in Iran and Iraq, with some implications for the Iranian government. Visit Ali Mohammadi / Bloomberg via Getty Images file, Andrew Harrer / Bloomberg via Getty Images file, After Soleimani killing, U.S. braced for Iranian drone and missile strikes, Pompeo's power grows as he forcefully defends Trump's actions, Iran retaliates for Gen. Soleimani's killing by firing missiles at U.S. forces in Iraq, Trump's Iran move puts 2020 Democrats in a political bind, Trump's strike on Iran general jeopardizes vow to stop 'endless wars', Iran to meet with U.N. technical experts over uranium find, U.S. must lift sanctions before Iran lives up to nuke deal, supreme leader says, Cruise missiles tested during extensive Iranian naval exercises, Iran plans 20% uranium enrichment at nuclear facility 'as soon as possible', U.S. flies bombers over Persian Gulf to deter Iran from attacks, Iran vows revenge, says Israel used ‘electronic devices’ to kill nuclear scientist, Iran's supreme leader vows retaliation for assassination of leading scientist, Future of the Iran nuclear deal could depend on 2020 election outcome, U.N. Security Council dismisses U.S. call for Iran sanctions, U.S. faces opposition to Iran sanctions 'snap back' demand, Iran briefly seized oil tanker, U.S. military says, Iran, U.S. tensions heighten after passenger jet incident, Iran moves mock aircraft carrier to sea amid U.S. tensions, A message from 'Queen Elizabeth' to the shah played role in CIA 1953 coup in Iran, documentary says, Trump pushed U.S. and Iran 'close to the brink,' Iran's Zarif tells NBC News, Iran's FM Zarif: ‘We were very close to a war’, Influential Iranians break ranks with state after Ukrainian jet downing, Inside Hezbollah territory after the death of Iran’s Soleimani, In rare address, Iran's supreme leader praises strikes on U.S. bases, Iran says it has made arrests over plane disaster after days of protests, Trump authorized killing of top Iranian commander 7 months ago with conditions, Inside the Iraqi base housing U.S. troops attacked by Iran, Iran faces fresh protests after admitting it shot down plane, Brother of victim in downed Ukrainian plane: 'He's supposed to be here', U.S. troops injured in Iran strikes after Soleimani killing, Pentagon updates, Trump authorized Soleimani's killing 7 months ago, with conditions, After Soleimani strike, Gulf Arab countries urge Trump to show restraint, Video appears to show the moment the Ukrainian plane went down over Iran, Airport informants, overhead drones: How the U.S. killed Soleimani, ANALYSIS: Iran's options for retaliation against the U.S. span the globe. There were no reports yet of casualties or damage at the two Iraqi military bases housing U.S. forces. Fearing an open conflict between Iran and the United States, EU foreign ministers, joined by NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, hold a rare emergency meeting to call for calm. Iraq’s social and political landscape has changed drastically after an escalation of regional and global power competition, the COVID-19-induced health and economic crises, and the unprecedented uprising by peaceful demonstrators in October 2019 that led to formation of a new government. The question remains, then, how can the U.S. achieve its objectives in regard to Iran and Iraq without military action? Background: The armed conflict in Iran is between the government and the National Council of Resistance (NCR), established in Tehran in 1981. And after nearly two decades, the American public has clearly demonstrated its own fatigue with endless wars. Projects Iran-Iraq War - Iran fought a war with Iraq from 1980 to 1988. The latest news on Iran and the Middle East after the U.S. killed Iranian general Qassem Soleimani. ANALYSIS: Was it legal for Trump to order the killing of a top Iranian general? The latest news on Iran and the Middle East after the U.S. killed Iranian General Qassem Soleimani. Iran-Iraq War (1980–88), prolonged military conflict between Iran and Iraq. US-Iran conflict: Trump did not identify the sites. It introduced Islam as a form of governance in 1979 and has supported militants abroad and defied international norms. Argument The Middle East’s Next Conflicts Won’t Be Between Arab States and Iran The Arab moment has passed. This enables USIP to foster dialogue on the latest political, economic, and social trends. Iranians burn U.S. flags during a ceremony to mark the 40th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, February 11, 2019. European diplomats are attempting to deescalate the conflict between Iran and the United States, following the death of Qassem Soleimani in a U.S. airstrike. Tensions escalated in 2019 after the two nations shot down each other’s drones over the Persian Gulf and Iran was linked to attacks on Saudi Arabian oil facilities. The conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia is fueling some of the region's most intractable conflicts. The 13 conflicts in the following list have caused at least 1,000 and fewer than 10,000 direct, violent deaths in a current or past calendar year. During the past tumultuous year for Iraq, U.S. forces and Iranian-allied armed groups engaged in tit-for-tat attacks in Iraq. Demonstrations and riots erupt in Iran every few years, protesting primarily intervention by the regime in the life of the individual or the economic situation. The situation in Iran is incredibly complex. USIP’s Elie Abouaoun and Sarhang Hamasaeed look at how U.S.-Iran tensions played out last year in Iraq and the region and if the incoming U.S. administration, and its desire to reengage in nuclear talks with Iran, could help allay the impact on Iraq. Press For Iraqi leaders, the Soleimani strike exacerbated an already challenging balancing act in maintaining Baghdad’s relationships with the United States and Iran, with whom it shares a long border and religious and social ties. The Pentagon referred questions about the matter to the White House, which did not immediately respond to a request for comment He has repeatedly promised to rejoin the nuclear deal, brokered by the world’s six major powers in 2015, which Donald Trump pulled out of in 2018. The Center for Preventive Action's (CPA) Global Conflict Tracker is an interactive guide to ongoing conflicts around the world of concern to the United States. Nuclear Diplomacy with Iran: What’s Ahead for the Biden Administration? The Islamic Republic of Iran today is a Shiite Islamic republic with a Sunni minority under a theocratic regime which is ruled by President Hassan Rouhani since 2013. Iran in turn warns that it will begin increasing its uranium enrichment capacity if the deal collapses as a result of the US move. The Middle East’s Next Conflicts Won’t Be Between Arab States and Iran The Arab moment has passed. The Center for Preventive Action's (CPA) Global Conflict Tracker is an interactive guide to ongoing conflicts around the world of concern to the United States. This is a list of modern conflicts in the Middle East ensuing in the geographic and political … The situation in Iran is a civil war. Who was the Iranian 'shadow commander' killed in a U.S. airstrike. However, in terms of the number of participants, the … Continued Iran has made threats against Fort McNair, an Army base in the nation’s capital, and against the Army’s vice chief of staff, two senior U.S. intelligence officials said. These developments have exacerbated long-standing tensions, feeding public distrust in the state and tribal … Libya. The administration argued that the deal did not adequately curb Tehran’s nuclear program or address its missile program, human rights abuses, and support for terror. Hence the chain of economic sanctions by the United States imposed mainly in 1995 by President Bill Clinton, and which includes Iranian purchases of food, spare parts, and medical products, as well as American purchases of carpets and food. In … Background: The armed conflict in Iran is between the government and the National Council of Resistance (NCR), established in Tehran in 1981. CONFLICTS. As a result, USIP experts periodically brief members of Congress, officials from the Pentagon and State Department, the intelligence community, and U.S. service academies. But Iranian state television and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a conflict monitor based in Britain, reported that 17 fighters had been killed in … Search for experts, projects, publications, courses, and more. They also provide analysis to media outlets to build the Institute’s reputation as a resource on Iran. Through its focused research, USIP has become a leading source for timely Iran analysis. I can't predict how things will develop in the coming months. It's that American coup that led to the 1979 revolution that placed an ayatollah on the throne and the rule of the mullahs still in power today. Beginning with the early January killing of Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani, the first months of 2020 have seen a spike in long-simmering tensions between the U.S. and Iran. The book’s authors represent 20 think tanks, eight universities, and senior officials from six U.S. presidential administrations. Rival military coalitions in Libya are no longer fighting, and the UN has restarted negotiations … By: For decades, Iran has vexed the international community. Publications The January 3, 2020 U.S. drone strike that killed powerful Iranian commander Qassem Soleimani on Iraqi soil marked an escalation in already simmering U.S.-Iran tensions. Iran’s revolution has passed through at least five phases. For decades, a confluence of challenges—political and cultural repression, menacing rhetoric, and defiance over its nuclear program—complicated dealing with the Islamic Republic. Washington reimposed sanctions as part of a “maximum pressure” campaign to change Tehran’s behavior. North Korea snaps back at Biden over criticism of missile launches. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. President Joe Biden has pledged to work toward returning the U.S. to an era of diplomacy with Iran, after four years of his predecessor’s campaign of “maximum pressure” on that country. Today, it is the "main component organization of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, an 'umbrella coalition' calling itself the 'parliament-in-exile dedicated to a democratic, secular and coalition government in Iran.'" The situation in Iran is incredibly complex. USIP’s recent work includes: Reliable resources on Iran remain scarce, even as it increases as a global flash point. Demonstrations and riots erupt in Iran every few years, protesting primarily intervention by the regime in the life of the individual or the economic situation. A brief summary of the U.S. – Iran conflict. tweet, situation with Iran remains very tense, Gen. Barry McCaffrey: Trump threats to Iran showed 'appalling' judgment, Congress looks to keep Trump in check by withholding war funding, Steve Schmidt: We’re at the ‘most dangerous moment in the Middle East’, U.S. kills top Iranian general in airstrike ordered by Trump, U.S. to send 3,000 troops to Middle East after embassy attack, Soleimani killing, ‘We should welcome his death’: McConnell supports Soleimani killing, Schumer condemns, Hundreds of thousands gather in Tehran for Soleimani’s funeral, Iran’s economy and evolving culture could impact response to death of Soleimani, Fallout after U.S. drone attack kills Iran’s top general, Aftermath of U.S. airstrike on Soleimani’s convoy purportedly captured in cellphone video, Trump defends Iran airstrikes, calling it self-defense, NBC News' Tehran bureau chief on how Iran may react, McConnell and Schumer respond to U.S. airstrike against Iranian general, Pelosi wants details from Trump, says strike conducted without authorization. IE 11 is not supported. Fearing an open conflict between Iran and the United States, EU foreign ministers, joined by NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, hold a rare emergency meeting to call for calm. Learn about the political instability in Iraq, where it began, and the latest developments with the Center for Preventive Action's Global Conflict Tracker. Denounced in Iran as a terrorist group, the PMOI renounced violence in 2001. In a number of respects, the current internal conflict in Iran should be the source of much concern to the leaders of the Islamic regime. An NBC News review of the events surrounding Gen. Qassem Soleimani's killing shows that the U.S. and Iran were closer to war than was generally understood. Published January 11, 2020 Tensions between the US and Iran … Stay on top of Iran latest developments on the ground with Al Jazeera’s fact-based news, exclusive video footage, photos and updated maps. The U.S. Institute of Peace aids policymakers’ thinking on Iran and provides a unique forum for virtual diplomacy in the absence of formal ties between Washington and Tehran. The US-Iran conflict: A timeline of how we got here By Harmeet Kaur, Allen Kim and Ivory Sherman, CNN. That dearth prompted USIP to convene 50 of the world’s top Iran scholars to contribute to the book, The Iran Primer: Power, Politics and U.S. Policy. (Meghdad Madadi/Tasnim News Agency/Reuters) It … About Iran’s brief post Cold War history (CIA/British overthrow of democratically elected Mossadeq, and support for the Shah dictator followed by overthrow by Iranian Islamic Fundamentalists). Connect - The Africa Report. Conflicts causing at least 1,000 deaths in one calendar year are considered wars by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program. For decades, Iran has vexed the international community. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran will continue in the shadows, where it has been fought for 40 years. Dr. Elie Abouaoun; Sarhang Hamasaeed. In a number of respects, the current internal conflict in Iran should be the source of much concern to the leaders of the Islamic regime. The situation in Iran is a civil war. USIP staff contribute their expertise on Iran to conferences and events, both domestically and abroad. The U.S. and Iran have avoided open … Dr. Elie Abouaoun; Molly Gallagher. USIP convenes experts, briefs lawmakers, and presents comprehensive views of Iran’s internal politics and relationships with the rest of the world through unbiased, fact-based research and analysis. First published in 2010 and updated in 2015, the unprecedented project acts as a comprehensive guide to Iran’s politics, economy, military, foreign policy, and nuclear program. Using Smart Power to Counter Iran in Iraq, Lise Grande: I was the only woman in 98% of all official meetings in Yemen - The National, Singapore deal Moon wants Biden to inherit was flawed: US experts - The Korea Herald, U.S. Perceptions of China in the Pandemic Era and Implications for U.S. Policy - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Egypt – UAE: Has Libya come between the longtime allies? In Syria, Iran has consistently backed … But Iranian state television and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a conflict monitor based in Britain, reported that 17 fighters had been killed in … By: Competition between non-Arab powers—Turkey, Iran… The very same mullahs that the … “When I refer to a young and Hezbollahi government, I’m not saying that, for example, a 32-year old should become president. The Institute builds relationships with think thanks, foreign affairs analysts, economists, youth and women’s rights activists, humanitarian groups, U.S. government agencies, congressional offices, and foreign diplomats. Estimates of total casualties range from 1,000,000 to twice that number. There is also armed action between Kurdish groups in Iran and Iraq, with some implications for the Iranian government. Iran is, after all, a multiethnic country, and Tehran is ill prepared to handle an uprising among other aggrieved minorities sparked by the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. Pahlavi Dynasty (1925–1979) Anglo-Soviet invasion of Iran (1941) (Part of World War II) Iran Soviet Union Those tensions have largely played out within the borders of Iran’s western neighbor, Iraq, just as they have for much of the last 17 years. 2301 Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20037Tel: +1.202.457.1700, About Iran’s regime Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei called for the establishment of a “young and Hezbollahi” government during his speech at the meeting with young members of the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) Basij on Sunday, May 17. Iran, proud and passionate, has been a conundrum since its 1979 revolution. It introduced Islam as a form of governance in 1979 and has supported militants abroad and defied international norms. Today, the Iranian fatherland is struggling to give its people water. The United States designated Iran as a state sponsor of terrorism for promoting Hezbollah in Lebanon. United States and Iran back away from imminent conflict as Trump says he is ready for peace ‘with all who seek it’ ... Today’s Headlines. Competition between non-Arab powers—Turkey, Iran, and … Grants & Fellowships Fighting was ended by a 1988 cease-fire, though the resumption of normal diplomatic relations and the withdrawal of troops did not take place until 1990. In May 2018, the Trump administration withdrew from the 2015 nuclear agreement negotiated by six world powers and Iran. Tensions emanating from the Trump administration’s “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran and Tehran’s “maximum resistance” response of escalating in … In May 2018, the Trump administration withdrew from the 2015 nuclear agreement negotiated by six world powers and Iran. As the COVID-19 pandemic began to spread in 2020, Iran became an early epicenter as it struggled to cope with thousands of cases across 31 provinces, further crippling its economy, which was already in recession because of U.S. sanctions. ... some of which remain suspended today. ANALYSIS: Trump's big risk on Iran showdown, John Kerry fact checks Trump's 'outright lie' about Iran deal, payment, Inside classified briefing: Trump admin calls checks on war powers 'disrespecting our troops’, Chris Hayes on the role of Trump's bagman in the Iran crisis, Nicolle Wallace astonished after GOP Senator breaks from Trump 'zombies,' criticizes Iran briefing, Analysis: Trump showed some restraint in speech full of falsehoods, Chris Matthews: Trump’s speech an ‘extraordinarily partisan response’ during crisis, Rhodes: There were no casualties, but that doesn't mean this is over, Sen. Warren: Not all problems can be solved with military action, Escalation between U.S. and Iran would threaten entire Middle East, Richard Engel in Iraq: Missile attack on U.S. forces is 'symbolic moment' for Iran, U.S. and Iran at 'last exit before the tunnel', says admiral, Lawmakers sign letter demanding answers on Iran strategy, Despite Trump's 'All is well!' Qajar Iran: Forces of Salar-al-Daulah Victory: Rebellion suppressed Persian Campaign (1914–1918) (Part of World War I) Qajar Iran Russian Empire British Empire British Raj: Stalemate: Ottoman withdrawal after signing of Armistice of Mudros. Still bearing the battle scars from years of war, few in the region want to see an escalation to more overt conflict. The war led to clashes between U.S. Navy and Iranian military forces from 1987 to 1988. Iran in turn warns that it will begin increasing its uranium enrichment capacity if the deal collapses as a result of the US move. I can't predict how things will develop in the coming months. Iran has made threats against Fort McNair, an Army base in the nation’s capital, and against the Army’s vice chief of staff, two senior U.S. intelligence officials said. Blog, The United States Institute of Peace Legal and Privacy Information | FOIA Inquiries, A Year After Soleimani Strike, Iraq Bears the Brunt of U.S.-Iran Tensions. Of all the pressing issues in the volatile Middle East—wars in Syria, Yemen and Libya, unstable Iraq, imploding Lebanon, and the 10,000 ISIS fighters and other al-Qaida franchises still on the loose—the most pressing for President-elect Joe Biden will be Iran’s controversial nuclear program. North Korea 5 hours ago. In January 2020, Iran recalculated its strategy after a U.S. strike killed Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani. Today, the system is dominated by hard-line conservative groups backed by the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the most powerful politician in Iran. The conservatives have managed to sideline both the right-wing populists backed by former President Ahmadinejad and reformists calling for a more open political system.
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